Shamrock Thoughts: Inject More Champions League Into My Veins

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The Champions League might be one of the best sporting events in the world. My first experience watching it was in 2009 when FC Barcelona defeated Manchester United. I grew up a Lionel Messi fan and was, at that point, a casual fan of Barcelona (though however I became a bigger fan later). As the years went on and the more and more I watched of soccer, the more interested I became in the Champions League and I have to say, I absolutely love it.

Outside of the World Cup, it is my favorite competition in soccer (not including the regular season of the Premier League). It is so much fun to watch teams from other countries, the top ones in their respective leagues, and see them go at it. So teams like Barcelona facing against another top team like Inter Milan, Manchester United, Bayern Munich or even their arch nemesis Real Madrid is what makes the Champions League so great. It can’t get any better.

I am a fan of Everton so seeing both Real Madrid and Liverpool in the Final that will be played today is something I absolutely despise. That being said, I really hope that this will be a fun match as usually the Finals are the best games to be played at any competition in soccer. However, I wish it wouldn’t end as it truly is spectacular and so much fun to watch.

Previewing Conference Finals Of 2018 Stanley Cup Playoffs

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Eastern Conference Finals

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning

The Washington Capitals have finally advanced to a conference final for the first time since 1998 after finally beating the Pittsburgh Penguins. Their reward? The best team in the Eastern Conference, the Tampa Bay Lightning. After losing the first game of their series against the Boston Bruins, the Lightning came back to win it in five games. Tampa Bay might be the most complete in the entire conference as they are both physical and very fast. Their goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has one of the best save percentages in the conference, but the Capitals also have an elite netminder in Braden Holtby and has been playing very well of late. Both defenses have been very good in the playoffs as that could be the difference in this series. While the Lightning are physical, so are the Capitals including getting their enforcer Tom Wilson back from suspension and actually matchup well in that department. The biggest question will be if Nicklas Backstrom and Andre Burakovsky for Washington will be healthy enough to play in this series as those are key contributors to a potent offense for the Capitals. Tampa Bay also boasts a lot of fire power with Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov leading the offense. The Lightning won two of three games in their regular season series this year.

Predictions

James Rowe: Tampa Bay. As great as it was to finally see the Capitals exorcise their demons, this magical journey sadly ends here as Tampa Bay is really freaking good. Even though the Capitals match up well in the physicality part of the game, they tend to struggle against speed and the Lightning have more of that than even Pittsburgh has. Though it could go seven games

Tali Raphael: Capitals. With the justification that the Capitals have a huge monkey off their back and a confidence surge.

Ryan Corbin: Tampa Bay. The Tampa Bay lightning come into this series after handily smothering any attempt at offense by the Boston Bruins.  Tampa boasts the deepest and most talented blueline in the NHL featuring the likes of Victor Hedman, Dan Girardi, Ryan McDonagh, and Anton Stralman in their top 4.  Not have they smothered the life out of opposing offenses, they have one of the most productive lines in hockey headlined by Nikita Kucherov, and captain Stephen Stamkos.  To make things worse for the Washington Capitals, this is a well-rested Tampa team having dispatched both the New Jersey Devils, and Boston Bruins in 5 games each, where as Washington had a tough 1st round match-up with the Columbus Blue Jackets, as well as extremely physical, hard-fought 7 game series with the reigning champs in Pittsburgh.  It’s nice to see Washington finally break into a conference final round, however I believe the train stops here.

 

Western Conference Finals

Vegas Golden Knights vs Winnipeg Jets

Not many would’ve seen this series coming especially seeing the Golden Knights make it this far. They keep surprising, but they are also riding a hot hand on Marc-Andre Fleury’s performance so far minding the net as he is putting up a historic like performance this postseason. The Jets have been playing extremely well however as they have Connor Hellebuyck guarding the net and faced off against a potent Nashville offense. They seem to play any type of game that is thrown at them and it might hurt Vegas in this situation. However, the Golden Knights have been surprising everyone and have momentum going into the series, so Winnipeg cannot take them for granted. On paper, it may not seem like an even matchup, but once they begin playing, it will be seen what type of series we are in store for. Vegas won two of three games played in the season series between the two. Also, whoever wins this series will be making their first appearance in the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

Predictions

James: Winnipeg. Watch me be wrong for a third straight time, but after watching Winnipeg this past round, they really impressed me enough to say that they are going to represent the Western Conference in the Stanley Cup Finals. Sure Fleury maybe having a historic like performance in the playoffs, but Hellebuyck has been awesome too and faced a better offense than Fleury did. I just think this incredible season for Vegas ends in this round.

Tali: Vegas. They have an immense amount of talent and a hit netminder in Fleury.

Ryan: I have been waiting for this matchup since the beginning of the playoffs.  In my opinion these are the two most well-rounded, versatile teams in the Western Conference bracket.  I have been naïve in the past and have continuously doubted the Golden Knights and wrote them off as a cute Cinderella story that had overachieved. Cinderella no more; these guys are for real.  I am a firm believer that a hot goaltender can not only steal you games, but entire series, and that is the type of netminder that Marc-Andre Fleury has been this postseason.  The last of this caliber that comes to mind is Tim Thomas who won the cup for the Boston Bruins in 2011 with a historic run of his own.  Both teams have similar high-octane offenses that are capable of scoring at a moments notice, and Winnipeg goaltender Connor Hellebuyck has been on a brilliant run of his own, and that is what this series will come down to.  My prediction is Vegas in 7, but if Hellebuyck matches or exceeds the play of Fleury, it could go either way.

The D.C. Sports Curse

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Misery loves company, literally, and nothing epitomizes that more than the professional sports team in Washington D.C. Some may even say they are cursed. You, the reader, if you’re not from D.C. or don’t know much about D.C. sports teams, you’re probably thinking that’s crazy talk. However, to the fans of these franchises, it’s very much something that gets talked about around town or just amongst the fanbases. Some people who are in their twenties or younger, haven’t even seen any sort of success. No D.C. team has seen a championship since the 1991 Washington Redskins and no squad has even played in either a league championship or a league/conference final since 1998 when the Washington Capitals were in the Stanley Cup Finals. Not a curse, eh? How else can you explain it?

Nationals

The newest of all these teams might be already one of the top heartbreaking clubs for the city. There was baseball in the city, the Washington Senators, from 1901 until 1971 (mind you that there were actually two incarnations of the Senators as the first one moved to Minneapolis to become the Minnesota Twins before the 1961 season and the second one after the 1971 season), but then laid dormant until 2005 when the Montreal Expos moved to the city and became the Washington Nationals. The problem with those 33 years without baseball was that people became fans of team from a city 39 miles to the North on I-95 with the Baltimore Orioles. The Nationals would have a tough task breaking into D.C.

It actually wasn’t too hard as many people seemed like they missed having baseball in the city. Even lot’s of fans of other ball clubs were showing up to games and adopted the Nationals as even a second favorite team. The club became popular and did so quickly. The 2005 season was actually a fun one as the team overachieved and made a run at the playoffs, however, they hit a mid-season swoon and fell out of the race, but finished 81-81. The club then had a few tough years between 2006-2010 where they were so bad, but that was part of the plan as it was a rebuild and things got even better when they hired Mike Rizzo as their general manager as they made some incredible draft picks like landing the best consensus prospect in the draft in Stephen Strasburg in 2009 and Bryce Harper in 2010 with the number one picks. 2011 was a good year even though it was a losing season as there was promise and the youngsters were developing like Ian Desmond and Jordan Zimmermann.

In 2012, their fortunes turned around as they won 98 games, the NL East Division, and secured the number one seed in the NL side of the playoffs. Their first round matchup in the Division Series was with the defending world champions, St. Louis Cardinals. The Nationals won their first game with the Cardinals, but then proceeded to lose the next two. In Game Four, it was a 1-1 score in the bottom of the ninth and everyone thought this contest was going into extra innings. Outfielder Jayson Werth worked a 13-pitch at bat, but the 13th one thrown was hit over the left field wall for a walk off home run and winning the game for the Nationals tying the series at 2-2. In the Game Five, it looked like the Nationals were headed to the National League Championship Series when they got out to a 6-0 lead. The Cardinals kept chipping away, but by when the ninth inning came, the Nationals still lead 7-5. With two runners on and two outs, it seemed like they were moving on. Closer Drew Storen had two strikes on St. Louis batter Daniel Descalso, but Storen threw a pitch that Descalso hit sharply up the middle and a ball that shortstop Ian Desmond could not handle. Tied game. Next batter was Pete Kozma who would proceed to rope a ball to right field scoring two more runs. Cardinals lead 9-7 in a matter of minutes when they were down to their last strike. The Nationals went down in order in the bottom half of the frame and their season was over. While it was heartbreaking, the fanbase felt hopeful for the trajectory of the franchise.

In 2013, manager Davey Johnson proclaimed that it was “World Series or bust.” The team seemed to even improve their roster by nabbing closer Rafael Soriano off the free agent market and traded for center fielder Denard Span from the Minnesota Twins. It looked promising and they even got off to a great start to the season. However, that would not be the case as they won only 86 games.

The next season, in 2014, the squad had a brand new manager in Matt Williams after Johnson retired and improved their roster with pitcher Doug Fister and their catching depth with Jose Lobaton, then making a trade for infielder Asdrubal Cabrera in the middle of the season to play second base when their up and coming star Anthony Rendon had to replace their franchise star Ryan Zimmerman at third base after Zimmerman injured himself. The team caught fire in the second half including having a win streak of 10 games, finishing the season with 96 victories, the NL East Division title, and the number one seed in the NL. Zimmerman came back in time to play as a vital player off the bench and it looked like they had the best squad in the entire league as they were hitting well and pitching lights out. The team they were playing was the San Francisco Giants who limped their way into playoffs and needed to have a first baseman, who barely played any left field, to start in that position. To say the least, the Giants were depleted and injury-riddled, so it was a perfect opportunity for the Nationals to advance the next round. It didn’t quite go the way they wanted it to go. They lost the first game 3-2, but the hope was still there. In Game Two, the Nationals had a 1-0 lead with two outs and it looked like the series was going to be tied. Giants hitter Pablo Sandoval hit a blooper to left field and tied the game at 1-1. The game would go into extra innings, but what transpired was one of the longest postseason games in MLB history as it went 18 innings. In the top of the 18th, San Francisco batter Brandon Belt drove a pitch into the right field seats to take a 2-1 lead and the game winner. The Nationals were down 0-2 in the series. They won Game Three, but Game Four was do or die. In a tight game, down 2-1 in the seventh inning, Bryce Harper punched a home run out of AT&T Park and the game was tied breathing new life and possibly shifting the momentum. That didn’t last long as the Giants took the lead on a wild pitch in the bottom half of the seventh. Two innings later, the Nationals season was over.

Then in 2015, the Nationals made a slew of moves including a blockbuster signing of the former Cy Young winner Max Scherzer to be the ace of their rotation and it looked like they were the team to beat. Despite a slow start to the season, the Nationals went on a huge roll and seemed to be on pace to win the division and nab the number one seed especially behind a breakout season from Bryce Harper who showed how much of a bonafide star he was. However, when did anything ever go right for this team? The club decided to go get Jonathan Papelbon, a top notch closer, midseason from Philadelphia to help make their bullpen better, which had been struggling for a bit. That seemed to make a negative impact on the club as suddenly they started to struggle. The New York Mets then went on a roll and leapfrogged the Nationals for first place for good. The Nationals, however, spiraled into a tailspin that put them even outside of the playoff picture. What symbolized the disaster of the season was in the dugout when an altercation between Papelbon and Harper occurred where Papelbon choked Harper after he felt like Harper wasn’t running enough on a certain play. Papelbon was suspended for the rest of the season. But there it was, another promising season, another disappointing result. Matt Williams was fired at the end of the year and there was another job search for the manager position.

2016 felt different though. They hired Dusty Baker, an accomplished manager over the years with the Giants, Chicago Cubs, and Cincinnati Reds, to become their newest guy to take the reigns of a talented ballclub. They signed infielder Daniel Murphy, who had a breakout 2015 postseason for the Mets, to be their new second baseman and cleanup hitter. The team took off that season as they were clearly the most complete team in the NL East and won that division pretty convincingly. Deep bullpen, great rotation, phenomenal defense, and productive offense and the club looked like they were good enough to make the World Series as they had the most consistent season out of any NL team, even more so than the eventual World Champions that year, the Cubs. Even though the Nationals did not get the one seed, they had home field advantage in the Division Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Of course it was a tightly contested series and it all came down to the final game. Scherzer was lights out and the club lead 1-0, but in the seventh inning, it came all crashing down when the Dodgers put four runs on the board as Scherzer and the bullpen seemingly forgot how to pitch. While a two run home run cut the Dodgers lead to 4-3, the Nationals lost once again collapsing in spectacular fashion. That feeling where it felt different? Well, it wasn’t different.

In 2017, the Nationals were clearly the best team in the NL East as every other team in the division was under .500 and the club nabbed the division title easily. During the season, the club suffered a lot of injuries, but even when they weren’t healthy, the Nationals still kept winning as they had a lot of depth. One by one each of those key players who were hurt came back and by the time the playoffs were about to start, the team was fully healthy. In the first round, the defending champions, Chicago Cubs, were their matchup. Though having a good stretch in the second half, the Cubs were clearly not as good as the Nationals. Just like the year before, it was a tightly contested series that came down to the final game. Even though the Cubs got off to an early 1-0 lead, the Nationals came back by putting up a four spot in the second inning. It looked like the franchise was finally going to breakthrough. All that agony Nationals fans had endured over the years seemed to finally be over. Well, what has been the common theme been here? Promise then disappointment. Yeah, that’s what happened here. Again. The Cubs cut the lead to 4-3, but then scored four runs in the fifth in what was a disastrous inning with a passed ball, hits batsman, and two errant defensive plays. It was a very bizarre sequence of events that it was so fitting. There were many chances for the Nationals to get back into the game, but it seemed like the baseball gods didn’t want them to as even though the momentum was on their side cutting the Cubs lead down to one run, it just wasn’t meant to be. In a wacky play in the eighth inning, Jose Lobaton was sliding back into first base on an attempted pick off play, but his foot at one point came off the bag and with Cubs first baseman Anthony Rizzo keeping his glove on Lobaton the entire time, he was called out when the Cubs challenged the play and the replay proved he was out. Then in the ninth, the Nationals were shut down in order. Once again, more heartbreak and in those bizarre sequences, it epitomizes what every D.C. sports fan had endured over the past two decades.

As one can see here, this is a fanbase that has endured a lot of tragedy, but with even all the promise, it just seemed like destiny was not to be had. But the Nationals aren’t even the most tragic sports team in the D.C. area.

Wizards

The Wizards hadn’t been very successful in 1990s and early 2000s, but once the team acquired guard Gilbert Arenas, it all changed. He and Larry Hughes formed one of the best backcourts in the league. They would make the playoffs in 2004-05 for the first time since 1996-97 and there was a lot of hope. Even though they fell 0-2 to start their series against the Chicago Bulls, they came back to win four straight and made it to the second round to face the Miami Heat where they would get swept. Then in their next three seasons they would make the playoffs and not make it out of the first round. It would take until 2013-14 to make the playoffs again.

In 2013-14, under a new star John Wall, led his team to the playoffs to take on the Bulls in the first round where they won in five games and headed to the second round. They would lose in six games to the Indiana Pacers, but the promise was there as they were an up and coming team.

The next season was even more promising as they picked up veteran player Paul Pierce to help the team grow, which they did. They made it back to the playoffs where they took on the Toronto Raptors and swept them. They took on their division rival, Atlanta Hawks, in the second round and they split the first four games of the series. In Game Five, it was a closely contested game, but in the final seconds of the game Paul Pierce drained a shot to give the Wizards a late lead and seemingly looked to take a 3-2 lead in the series. That would not be the case as the Hawks took the lead with a second left and they lost the game. The Wizards lost Game Six as well in heartbreaking fashion.

The club missed the playoffs the next year, but in 2016-17, they returned and there was a lot more hope. In the first round, they beat the Atlanta Hawks in six games and advanced to the second round. The Wizards played a back and forth series, but ultimately lost to a rising Boston Celtics squad in seven games. That, in and of itself, isn’t too bad. That Game Seven featured Celtics player Kelly Olynyk, of all people, scoring 26 points in a game the Wizards lost by 10 (though that margin masks how close the game was). The Wizards were leading late in the game, but they ultimately fell as D.C. just had two teams lose a Game Seven just within days of one another which made it even harder for the city (the other being the Capitals).

This year represented a fairly typical season for the current iteration of the Wizards (built around John Wall, Bradley Beal, and Otto Porter): a lot of experts had this Wizards team as a dark horse Eastern Conference finalist and a likely top four seed in the Playoffs. Instead, the Wizards managed to barely squeak in as the 8th seed and lost to Toronto in six games.

What makes this experience frustrating is not that such success (or lack thereof) happened, it’s that it was entirely predictable.

The Wizards are also a mess of terrible chemistry. Wall and Beal famously dislike each other (or at least are reported to) and Wall feuds with random teammates in a very public manner from time to time. When the Wizards rolled out their “everybody eats” strategy of quick passing and off ball movement during Wall’s injury, Wall ended up in a Twitter flame war with his teammate Marcin Gortat. Nothing about this team functions as it should.

Even worse, the Wizards aren’t competently managed and refuse to change in that regard. The Wizards general manager is Ernie Grunfeld, who has held that position for 15 years. Grunfeld has almost nothing to show for that stretch. Grunfeld’s decision’s have also been leaving the Wizards perpetually bereft of draft picks, and spending on contracts that made little sense even in crazy spending years (i.e. Gortat and Ian Mahinmi’s contracts), the Wizards extended Grunfeld, in secret, before the 2018 playoffs began. The Wizards are content to stick with the guy that’s left them with no means of improvement; the team has almost none of its draft picks and little cap space. Keeping Grunfeld after such a humiliating season is the encapsulation of Wizards fandom: a perpetual dedication to the mediocre. While the Nationals and Capitals are underperforming contenders (which is worse), the Wizards can’t even build well enough around one of the NBA’s best backcourts to reach that tier. That is their contribution to D.C. Sports.

Redskins

The Redskins are the darlings of the city. Whenever the Redskins play on Sunday, there is no one out on the streets as everyone is packed at home or at bars watching their team play. Many people around the National Football League might not know this, but the Redskins have one of the most faithful, dedicated, and most passionate fans in the entire league. During the 1970s and 1980s, the team was a model franchise that was steeped in tradition and was rich of winning history. Joe Gibbs was the head coach from 1981 till 1992 and is thought of as a god amongst the fanbase as he took the club to eight playoff appearances, four Super Bowl berths, and three championship trophies. He retired after 1992, but the respect around the league for the franchise was high. Sadly, several years later, that would change. They are also the last team to win a championship for the city back in 1991, 27 years ago.

In 1999, the team was bought by Dan Snyder, a communications marketer with his own business. That was the day when everything went bad for the franchise. Of all the clubs in the city, the one that was most beloved, was the one that started all the heartbreak. The Redskins were playing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Divisional Round of the 1999 NFL playoffs after winning their contest against the Detroit Lions in the Wild Card round. The game was tightly contested (sensing another pattern here) and it was in the stages of the final seconds where the Redskins had a chance of kicking a field goal to win the game, but the snap was botched and the Buccaneers won the game. It was a 51-yard attempt so it might not have gone through the field goal post, but it’s sort of those weird and wacky plays that the city has seen over and over again in all their sports. The Redskins were the first ones to start that trend.

The next few seasons were bleak for the fanbase as Snyder tried to bring back the winning tradition by nabbing veterans off the free agent market like Jesse Armstead and Deion Sanders, but it seemed like they were all past their primes and never put up any productive numbers. In 2004, Snyder hired Gibbs again to bring back the team to glory, but team fell to another losing record and missed the playoffs. It took until 2005 for the Redskins to make the playoffs, which was a pretty decent team as they went 10-6, but they were never good enough to make a serious run as they lost in the Divisional Round to the Seattle Seahawks (though they did avenge their loss against the Buccaneers in 1999, when they beat them in the Wild Card Round).

The team then made a slew of moves to improve on their success of 2005 for 2006, but that was all for naught as the team went back to their losing ways. In 2007, the team made it back to the playoffs, but barely as they went 9-7. However, during the 2007 season, their prized young star Sean Taylor was shot and killed in a home invasion. It was a rallying cry for the team going into the playoffs, but they lost in the first round.

However, after 2007, the team fell back into oblivion and the team became irrelevant once again.

Then in 2012, it seemed like their fortunes had changed. In the NFL Draft, they had the second pick and decided to take Robert Griffin III, the Heisman winner, to be their everyday quarterback. The city thought that they finally had their franchise quarterback and that there would be long term success. While many didn’t think they would make the playoffs, no one predicted how bad of a start to the season that they had as the team went 3-6. Suddenly, the Redskins caught fire and rattled off seven straight wins to win the East Division title. Their matchup was against Seattle once again, but the Redskins were favorited. They got off to a 14-0 start and it looked like the team was headed to the Divisional Round. However, optimism never works out for people of D.C. and things quickly turned bad. The Seahawks started making progress and started scoring points including taking the lead. While down, the Redskins were still in the game until their prized quarterback, Griffin III (or RG3), injured his knee tearing his ACL, LCL, and meniscus. The entire fanbase held their collective breath as their future suddenly looked bleak after seeing their franchise quarterback go down with a serious injury. The Redskins also wound up losing the game, but the fans were worried more about RG3 than anything else.

The hope was that his knee would fully heal and over the offseason there was a lot of progress in his recovery. Optimism came back to the Redskins faithful, but things were not quite as good as everyone thought.

In 2013 and 2014, RG3 never developed anymore and was seen as a bust. By the beginning of 2015, he was relegated to third string quarterback. However, there was more hope as their backup quarterback, Kirk Cousins, was handed the reigns to be the starter and the team suddenly brought more optimism as they were a young and talented team and won the East Division. Their first round matchup was against the Green Bay Packers and even got off to a 11-0 lead, but because of the Packers experience, they rallied back and defeated the Redskins.

However, there was a lot of hope and the optimism was back, but where has everyone seen that?

Redskins management had a big decision to make, whether to sign Cousins to a long term contract or let him go in the free agent market. The team made the right decision to put the franchise tag on him to see if whether his strong 2015 campaign was a fluke or not. The team also let go of RG3 ending a forgettable era of a failed prospect. It was Cousins’ time to shine.

In 2016, the team got off to a 6-3 start and it looked like they were headed to the playoffs. That didn’t happen, but what happened in the last game of the season was what was even more painful. The Redskins were playing their division rival, the New York Giants who had already clinched a playoff spot and essentially played for nothing in the contest. For the Redskins, all they had to do was win. They played terribly and put themselves in an early hole though they rallied back to tie the game. The Giants took a late 13-10 lead and the Redskins had one last chance to rally again. They moved the ball well, but Cousins threw a ball that was picked off and the playoffs were dashed. While disappointing, there was more optimism that this team was on the right trajectory.

The Cousins contract saga continued as it seemed like the management were still not satisfied and gave him the franchise tag again. But that wasn’t the only other saga happening in the organization as the team decided to fire their general manager Scott McCloughan, who was thought of as a great evaluator of talent. They used his struggles of alcoholism as the reason why they fired him, but it seemed more like it was more of a power struggle than anything. Fans were outraged and many called for president of football operations to be ousted. That never happened.

And finally, in 2017, the team looked like they were off to a really great start and even one executive proclaimed the Redskins to be a really good team, but something happened to the team that hurt them. Literally. Injuries hampered the squad all season long as they signed so many players off the street in order fill in the holes and they were never able to fully play at the healthiest they could have been and not reaching their potential. The team fell to 7-9, but there still was reason for hope until the offseason when the club decided to move on from Cousins by trading for Kansas City quarterback Alex Smith despite three seasons of very productive years from Cousins. Fans, again, groaned about all the incompetent moves this franchise kept making. While there is optimism for 2018, fans are still upset over how the team let a productive quarterback like Cousins go.

Snyder on the other hand has been the absolute worst owner in all of sports even without all the incompetent football moves that were made. He once decided to sue some season ticket holders. He’s also had issues with how The Washington Post covered the team as he didn’t quite like how they were doing their coverage. He seems to not care about interests of the fanbase as he makes decisions that only he wants to see. He has taken this once model franchise into a laughingstock. Just another tragic story for D.C. sports considering they are darlings of the town.

Capitals

Ironically, the most tragic of all the teams in the city are the ones who last made it past the second round in the playoffs back in 1998. They lost to the Detroit Red Wings in the Stanley Cup Finals, but no one knew this would be the last time any D.C. team would advance past the second round.

Where this story begins is during the current era of the Capitals, the Rock The Red Era as it’s called. It was started when the team drafted Alex Ovechkin to be their franchise player and what they got was something quite spectacular. He is one of the greatest goal scorer’s in this generation and it’s been awesome to watch. However, in his first few seasons, the team was awful. In the 2007-08 season, the team got off to a terrible start, but the team decided to fire their head coach and hired a man named Bruce Boudreau to be the man in charge. From there, the team then got off on a roll and rallied on to win the Southeast Division. Their first round matchup was against Philadelphia and it went seven games, but they ultimately lost. Game Seven’s have been a common theme for this team so keep that in mind. However, there was a lot of promise with this team.

The next season, the Capitals played some of the best hockey as they won 50 games and nabbed the two seed in the playoffs. They won their first round matchup with the New York Rangers and won that series. Their next matchup would be with the Pittsburgh Penguins, who would also be a common name in this section. The Capitals won the first two games of the round and it looked like they were going to the second round. However, they would lose the next three games and were one game away from being eliminated. The Capitals would win Game Six setting up a Game Seven showdown in D.C. for the right to move to the Conference Finals. The hype was there and many thought it was going to be a classic game, however, if been following along the common motifs of D.C. sports, it didn’t quite go that way as they lost 6-2.

The next season was even better as they won the President’s Trophy (the trophy for the best team in the league that season) with 121 points and the number one seed in the conference. They were leading 3-1 in their first round series against the Montreal Canadiens and it looked like it was they were going to the second round. Well, they didn’t as they would lose their next three games when goaltender Jaroslav Halak for the Canadiens suddenly became impenetrable and were ousted in the first round. The city drowned their sorrows as another promising season was wasted away.

In the 2010-11 season, the Capitals won 48 games, the Southeast Division, and the one seed once again in the conference. Their first round matchup was against the New York Rangers and won with ease as they took the series 4-1. But in the second round, it was once again all for naught as they were swept by the Tampa Bay Lightning. Just another disappointing season for the Capitals.

For the 2011-12 season, the Capitals didn’t play well enough to win the division, but they qualified for the playoffs and had a date with the defending champions, the Boston Bruins. It was a hard fought series, but the Capitals came out on top with a dramatic overtime winner from Joel Ward and they moved on to the second round. There they would play the best team in the conference, the New York Rangers, and it was a tightly contested series as it went seven games. The team relied on a young, but up and coming star to play as their starting goalie, Braden Holtby. In Game Seven, it was hard fought, but ultimately lost the game 2-1 and their season was over. However, the hope was that Holby would develop into a top notch goalie. And he most certainly did as he became a Vezina winner (award given to the best goalie that season) later in his career and earned the name Holtbeast.

The 2012-13 season was strike shortened as they would play roughly half of a season, but they would win the Southeast division once again and had the three seed. In the first round they took on the Rangers again and even held a 3-2 lead, but when was it ever easy for this team as they lost the next two, lost the series, ended their season, and another bitter disappointment for the fanbase.

Even more disappointment happened when the next season, the squad didn’t even qualify for the playoffs, but the next year, they came back stronger and earned the two seed in the Metropolitan Division side of the Eastern Conference. There they faced the New York Islanders and grinded out a series victory in seven games to take on the Rangers, who were the best team in the division. The Capitals would win the three of the first four games of the series and it looked like they were on to the next round. Then again, this is D.C. sports and this was seen before. The team would lose the next three games including a stunning 2-1 loss in overtime. Another opportunity to end the drought for D.C. teams and it was squandered.

However, there was more hope as in the offseason they traded for T.J. Oshie, a star player from St. Louis, to pair up with Ovechkin, and it looked like they had the best team in the league. That 2015-16 season proved to be that as they crushed their competition as they earned 120 points and won the President’s Trophy gaining home ice advantage in the playoffs. Their first round matchup was against Philadelphia and won in six games advancing to the second round. There they took on the Penguins for the second time in the playoffs since the Rock The Red Era started. It was expected to be an epic clash and the first game seemed like that was going to happen when Oshie scored a game winner in overtime in dramatic fashion. The hope was there, the optimism was through the roof, and the fans were excited. This seemed different, it didn’t feel like any of the other years. It had to be the year they would win and finally bring a trophy to Washington, D.C. Well, the next three games the Capitals would lose and fell into a 3-1 deficit. They would win Game Five, but would lose in the Game Six in such a crushing way. The season was over just like that.

In 2016-17, it was even higher expectations as they were even better and played better defense that led to another President’s Trophy. Once again they dominated in the regular season and even trading for defenseman Kevin Shattenkirk from St. Louis to improve their defense. Their first round matchup was against the Toronto Maple Leafs and they won that series 4-2. Who was their next round matchup with? The Pittsburgh Penguins, again. The Capitals lost three of the first four games of the series and it looked like the season would end in disappointment once again. However, the Capitals suddenly played like they did in the regular season and won the next two contests in convincing fashion to force a Game Seven, back in D.C. and with the momentum. It seemed like the time had finally come. However, it was just another tragic ending as they lost Game Seven 2-0 despite outplaying Pittsburgh. Just like the season was over, once again.

The Capitals have been the most tragic of all the teams as they have always brought the most hope and to the city, but always it ended with heartbreak. They have been the most successful and have gotten the best opportunity to bring a championship the last two decades than all the other D.C. teams, but have always lost.

What could go wrong always did go wrong for any of the D.C. sports teams. It almost seems statistically impossible for what these teams have done, but it has. And it’s not just only a championship drought, it’s not even being able to play for a league/conference championship that makes it even more hard to digest. Not a curse, eh? Seriously, how else can you explain it?

*As of this article being written, the Capitals currently hold a 3-2 lead in the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

*Dan Nicotera contributed to this article in the Wizards section.

Shamrock Thoughts: 2018 Kentucky Derby

Horse Racing 2005 - 131st Kentucky Derby

One of the most exciting races in our country will take place later today and from looking at the odds, this could be a very close race. Trainers like Bob Baffert dedicate their lives to this race, the creme de la creme of horse racing, and every year the favorites have a hard time winning at Churchill Downs. But with this year, the odds are so crowded that there isn’t a “clear” favorite.

As of this article written, the favorite to win this one is Justify, who’s odds are 7-2  and is in the seven post. While the horse is the distinguished favorite in the field, there are twenty horses. Here is the rest of the field:

2018 Kentucky Derby Odds

HORSE POST POSITION ODDS
Justify 7 7-2
My Boy Jack 10 5-1
Audible 5 6-1
Mendelssohn 14 6-1
Good Magic 6 8-1
Bolt d’Oro 11 9-1
Magnum Moon 16 13-1
Vino Rosso 18 15-1
Hofburg 9 25-1
Lone Sailor 8 32-1
Free Drop Billy 2 41-1
Promises Fulfilled 3 46-1
Flameaway 4 51-1
Enticed 12 54-1
Noble Indy 19 54-1
Firenze Fire 1 63-1
Solomini 17 64-1
Bravazo 13 69-1
Combatant 20 77-1
Instilled Regard 15 99-1

*Source: http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/22594819/horse-racing-latest-2018-kentucky-derby-futures-odds

As you can see, it’s a very crowded field and the odds are very close with horses My Boy Jack, Audible, Mendelssohn, Good Magic, Bolt d’Oro, Magnum Moon, and Vino Rosso in striking distance of Justify.

One thing to look after is the conditions of the track. As of this morning, the conditions are fast, which means it’s good running conditions. There is rain in the forecast which could mean the conditions could change and make it slower for the horses to run on. Keep an eye out on this.

So later on today I plan on just grabbing a pint of beer for the race (yeah, I know, it should be mint julep per tradition, but I don’t care for that stuff), kicking back, and enjoying what unfolds in front of me. Who is my favorite to win the race? As cliche as it sounds, I’m going with the favorite here Justify. While the odds are on his side, the conditions look favorable for him. I also suspect this will be a tight race so keep an eye out for that. And let’s see if any horse will lead to a Triple Crown last won by American Pharaoh in 2015.

Previewing 2018 NHL Playoffs Conference Semi-Finals

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Now that we have moved on to the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, we are down to eight teams, four in each conference as it’s the conference semi-finals. While the teams that are in the conference semi-finals have previously been previewed in our first article, let’s take a look at the matchups in each conference:

Eastern Conference

Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins

This was the series everyone wanted to see. Two powerhouse teams going at it and also how intense the rivalry is between the two squads including their best players in the Penguins’ Sidney Crosby and Capitals’ Alex Ovechkin, both being the best players in the entire NHL. This will be the third straight season that these two teams have met in the second round of the playoffs and in the two previous ones, the Penguins won. During the regular season, both squads split the season series 2-2. The Capitals are coming off a series where they were down 0-2 and then won four straight against the Columbus Blue Jackets and the Penguins won their matchup with in-state rival Philadelphia Flyers in six games by scoring an incredible 27 goals. The biggest question about this series is whether the Penguins still have any energy left in them. It was a grueling series against the Flyers, so can they keep up? The Capitals seem to have more speed in them than they used to which pairs up well with Penguins style of play. Both are offensive juggernauts and this series will come down to goaltending. The Capitals had a small goalie controversy in the first round, but when Braden Holtby took over as the starter, he played really well. Matt Murray is a decent goalie for the Penguins, but Holtby is a Vezina Trophy winner and had a .932 save percentage in the series against Columbus. Having Holtby hot right now is crucial for the Capitals. This series is very even and it comes whoever has the better goaltending wins. However, can the Penguins continue in their quest for a three-peat?

Predictions:

James Rowe: Capitals. I pick the Capitals every year and they always falter. However, I feel really confident about the Capitals chances this year, especially with how Holby played against Columbus. I don’t think Capitals are taking this matchup for granted like they did in the past and will be more prepared than the previous two years. It just feels different, but this will be another exciting series. Is third time the charm for the Capitals? Is this the year the Capitals finally break through and advance and exorcise their playoff demons? Let’s find out.

Tali Raphael: Penguins. I’d rather see the Caps win but I have no faith in them until it all comes to fruition.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins

The Bruins held a 3-1 lead in their series against Toronto, but then lost the next two and were down 4-3 going into the third period. It didn’t look good for them until they scored four goals in the third period and they advanced to the second round. Their reward? The best team in the conference, Tampa Bay. The Lightning won their series against New Jersey in convincing fashion as they beat the Devils in five games. However, the Bruins have matched up well with Tampa Bay this season winning three of the four games played. The Lightning on the other hand have played extremely well especially with Andrei Vasilevskiy having the best save percentage amongst all goalies in the conference minding the net and with the fire power they have, it will not be easy for the Bruins despite a great defense lead by Patrice Bergeron. This could be a really great series as it might go seven games.

Predictions:

James: Tampa Bay. This was a tough decision, but honestly with how Vasilevskiy played minding the net and with just such an outstanding offense, I think Tampa Bay might just squeak by. The Bruins might have the defensive capability to matchup with the Lightning, but with players like Steve Stamkos or Nikita Kucherov leading Tampa Bay’s offense, I feel like might over power Boston’s defense.

Tali: Tampa Bay. So much offensive firepower and a hot Vasilevskiy is a hard combination to counter, and it’s a good combination for the playoffs. Although, it’s not hard to foresee a classical, stalwart Boston playoff performance.

Western Conference

Nashville Predators vs Winnipeg Jets

The President’s Trophy winners, Nashville, advanced to the second round, but they will take on the Jets for the first time in the playoffs. Nashville won the season series by nabbing three of the five contests played. Nashville got a bit of a smack to the face when they took on the Colorado Avalanche and played to six games, but maybe getting a challenge in the first round might help prepare them in their second round matchup with Winnipeg. The Jets might be the colossal matchup that the Predators didn’t want as they can play any type of game whether its a defensive struggle or scoring onslaught. They seem to matchup with anyone. This is also a matchup that shouldn’t happen as not only did both these teams have the best records in the Western Conference, but across the entire league. However, that’s how the system is and that’s what we are going to see. Though because of that, we might see one of the most exciting playoff series in recent memories. The Predators have an advantage with Pekka Rinne as their goalie, but the Jets have a great offense that might even shake up Rinne a couple of times. This might be an absolute classic.

Predictions:

James: Winnipeg. I had a tough time deciding who I thought would win, but after watching Winnipeg play different types of games in their series with Minnesota, I just think they are more well prepared and matchup really well against Nashville.

Tali: Nashville. This is one potent team, firing on all cylinders. Pekka Rinne is a class netminder, and the Predators boast a formidable defence.

Vegas Golden Knights vs San Jose Sharks

The Golden Knights made history as they became the first expansion franchise to win a playoff series in their inaugural season as they swept the Los Angeles Kings. Their reward? The San Jose Sharks who came out of nowhere and swept the Anaheim Ducks. So both teams have had a lot of time to prepare for this series and no one really knows how it will play out. Vegas surprised many this year as no one gave them a chance at being a serious contender. The Sharks added Evander Kane over the offseason, but they basically are the same squad that has been consistently making the playoffs every year except twice since 1997-98 (though obviously not all the same players). However, Kane might have been the answer they needed. How the matchup will be is still a mystery as Vegas has a great offense, but San Jose has awesome depth and defense. Will the magical season for the Golden Knights continue or will the Sharks show off their experience?

Predictions:

James: San Jose. I really want to see the magical run continue for Vegas, but realistically, they are about to play a really good Sharks team who I think was instantly better because of Evander Kane. He just seems to be dynamic and that’s what San Jose needed. Plus, there are a lot of questions about the Golden Knights for this series.

Tali: Vegas. They have been consistently strong at all phases of the game for the entirely of the season.

Pro Bono Baller: 2018 NBA Playoff Preview

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The NBA Playoffs are just about to begin. Starting on April 14, we’re going to get top tier basketball until June. We may even get a different Finals than Warriors-Cavs this year. Let’s take a look at the teams, and then make some predictions for the first round.

Western Conference

Houston Rockets

Houston brings a lot to the table, and are a strong contender for an NBA Finals run and championship. Houston added Chris Paul to their lineup over the off-season, and the result is the most efficient offense in the NBA. Houston averages 115.2 points per 100 possessions, almost a point better than the number two team (Golden State). Houston is also a very good defensive team, only giving up 106.2 points per 100 possessions (seventh best in the NBA).

How does Houston do this? Harden and Paul are both excellent shooters and shot creators that can score in just about every way possible. Houston’s roster is loaded with either mobile big men that can screen and finish on pick and roll sets, as well as a collection of three and D players that defend and hit their open threes (such as Ariza,  Tucker, and Mbah a Moute). Like the Warriors, Houston prizes ball movement to get set, open jumpers.

Golden State Warriors

Golden State is an injury riddled version of the team that demolished the rest of the NBA last year. The most significant injury, possibly in the entire NBA, is Curry’s sprained MCL. It’s possible Curry is coming back by the second round, and the Warriors’ chances of repeating as champion likely hinge on his ability to return to his pre-injury production (averaging 26.4 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game).

Even without Curry, the Warriors still have Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson. Durant is one of the top scorers in the NBA and can likely carry the Warriors in Curry’s absence. The real question is how far Durant can carry them either without Curry or with a hobbled Curry. Thompson remains ones of the NBA’s top three point shooters. Draymond Green is one of the NBA’s top defensive players, and is a talented creator on offense. Combined with their highly efficient offensive system, the Warriors can likely survive early challenges in the first and second rounds. The real question is whether they can get past the Rockets.

Portland Trail Blazers

The Trail Blazers as a good defensive team? That actually happened this season. The Blazers’ offense remains the same as it was the last three seasons: Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum provide scoring from pretty much everywhere past the half court line. Last season, the Blazers added a talented post player in Jusuf Nurkic, a 14 point, 9 rebound per game presence who supplements the high scoring guards. The defense, however, is much improved. The Blazers were ranked 24th in the NBA last year in defensive efficiency (at 110.8 points per 100 possessions) and jumped all the way up to 8th this year. A lot of that improved defense comes from the guards. Lillard and McCollum went from turnstiles to committed defenders. I don’t think anyone would confuse them with a prime Gary Payton, but neither player is a defensive liability anymore.

That guard play, on top of a deeper rotation that includes Al-Farouq Aminu (a defensive big who can play perimeter defense and hit the occasional three), Evan Turner, and an improved Shabazz Napier, should allow the Blazers to win their first round matchup against a much thinner Pelicans team. Lillard and McCollum are offensive powerhouses, and Lillard is talented enough to close out games against even top level competition. The Blazers finally being a decent defensive team also addresses their major weakness from past seasons, which should make their level of play in the playoffs more consistent.

Oklahoma City Thunder

This season was supposed to be different from last season for the Thunder. OKC added Paul George and Carmelo Anthony, and many talked about them as a potential threat to the Warriors this season. That didn’t materialize. The Thunder instead struggled to figure out how to get Russell Westbrook (one of the NBA’s most explosive players) to fit with George and Anthony. Anthony, in particular, seems to not fit particularly well. Melo is used to having the ball in his hands, and seems to not know how to move off the ball to get his shot. George has been hot and cold this season, though his three point shooting is good overall for the season (40.1%).

Ultimately, the Thunder aren’t much different than last year. Westbrook dominates the ball, and provides a large chunk of the scoring and playmaking (averaging a triple double again this season). George is the next best offensive player, receiving most of the passes off of Westbrook’s dribble penetration. Both players run pick and roll sets with Steven Adams, who scores almost all of his points either on rim runs or put backs. Melo is still a very gifted scorer, though he went from taking the most shots on the team to the third most (which is probably for the best, given his age and style). The Thunder are not very deep, with only Jerami Grant and Raymond Felton providing any bench production. Their series against the Jazz should be very interesting, as it matches one of the NBA’s best offensive players against one of the NBA’s best defenses.

Utah Jazz

After losing Gordon Hayward to free agency, the Jazz were expected to spend the year rebuilding. Instead, Donovan Mitchell emerged as a legitimate Rookie of the Year candidate (and probably would be Rookie of the Year if Ben Simmons weren’t eligible) and the team added Ricky Rubio during the off-season. Rubio is a well rounded point guard capable of running an offense and providing defensive pressure. He’s also gradually improved his major weakness (shooting) to the point where he is serviceable. The Jazz’s other big move during the season was trading Rodney Hood and George Hill to the Cavaliers for Jae Crowder and Derrick Rose (who was immediately waived). Crowder turned out to be a better fit for Utah than Cleveland, recovering his three point touch while still providing his hardnosed defense.

Defense defines this Jazz team. Rudy Gobert, a 7’1″ center with an enormous wingspan, is a shot-blocking terror around the rim. Gobert averages 2.3 blocks per game. This is a bit of a regression from his previous year, but is still one of the league’s highest block rates. Rubio is an underrated on ball defender, capable of getting into his opponent’s chest and bothering their ability to dribble and pass. Mitchell is also a high risk, high reward defender who sometimes gambles too much for steals. The Jazz also have great depth, with six players averaging double figures for the season. How the Jazz’s defense deals with the individual playmaking of Westbrook and George makes their series against the Thunder one of the must-watch series of the first round.

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans consists of Anthony Davis and little else (at least since DeMarcus Cousins’ season ending Achilles injury). Davis is one of the top young talents in the NBA, an athletic big man with good shooting touch, ball handling skills, and post play. Davis is also one of the NBA’s best shot blockers, averaging 2.6 blocks a game.

After Davis, the Pelicans get thin. Their next best player is Jrue Holiday, an experienced combo guard averaging 19 points per game. E’Twaun Moore provides some shooting and scoring punch, but the team’s roster gets very thin at that point. The Pelicans play fast (first in overall pace), but are an average team on offense and defense. A lot of that averageness is due to the superior play of Davis. While the Blazers will likely struggle to defend Davis, it’s hard to see the Pelicans’ perimeter defense do much to stop Lillard and McCollum over the course of a seven game series. At best, Davis will keep those two away from the rim enough to open up other options defensively. In reality, Lillard and McCollum will likely wear down the Pelicans’ perimeter players on defense if they get contained at all.

San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs have not been themselves this season. Long the NBA’s paragon of roster development and managerial competence, the Spurs have struggled to put together a winning roster for much of the season. Losing Kawhi Leonard, one of the best two way players in the league, to an injury is bad enough. The Spurs appears to anger Leonard through their management of his injury, and possibly have lost him for good. Without Leonard, the Spurs play an old lineup based around antiquated basketball strategies. That they have made the Playoffs at all is an accomplishment.

The Spurs depend heavily on LaMarcus Aldridge for scoring, at 23 points per game. Aldridge relies heavily on midrange jumpers and post play, and takes the most shots of any individual player. After him, the Spurs get scoring from Rudy Gay, Pau Gasol, and Patty Mills. Only Mills (at 29) is under 30. The focus on Aldridge also takes away from the Spurs traditional strength the past few seasons: ball movement. The Spurs still get a decent number of assists, but the kind of rapid passing that defined their past late Duncan era teams isn’t there. The age and lack of depth likely indicate that this team will struggle against the Warriors in the first round. While Popovich has pulled off miracles before, it’s safe to say that this year’s Spurs team will, at most, be a tough first round out for the Warriors.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Timberwolves finally managed to end the NBA’s longest playoff drought. After 13 seasons, the Timberwolves snagged the 8th seed in the West on the final game of the season. The Wolves upgraded their roster significantly during the off-season, snagging Jimmy Butler and Taj Gibson from the Bulls (and reuniting them with their old coach Tom Thibodeau). Anchored by Karl Anthony Towns, Andrew Wiggins, and Butler, the Wolves run an efficient offense based around their stars’ unique scoring abilities. Towns, one of the rising stars in the NBA, is a seven footer capable of posting, driving, and hitting threes. Towns has shot 42% from three this season, making him almost impossible to defend. Wiggins, while less efficient, is a high volume scorer who gets to the rim almost at will.

While the Wolves are a young and fun to watch team, they likely will not get past the Rockets. The Wolves can score but cannot defend (ranked 27th in the NBA in defensive efficiency). Against a team like the Rockets, that is likely fatal. The Wolves also tend to under utilize their bench, which is a shame when their bench contains some solid players (like Bjelica, Tyus Jones, and Gorgui Dieng) that could make them better against the NBA’s best.

Eastern Conference

Toronto Raptors

Toronto underwent a sea change this past year, becoming one of the Eastern Conference’s big surprises. Toronto previously relied heavily on their scorers, DeMarr Derozen and Kyle Lowry, to score in the mid-range. Serge Ibaka provides rim protection and shooting. The team would supplement that with stout defense. This year, the Raptors play much faster (going from 24th to 14th in pace between 2017 and 2018) and in a more modern NBA offense (emphasizing spacing, ball movement, and three point shooting).

The Raptors also trot out one of the NBA’s best benches. Fred VanVleet, Delon Wright, CJ Miles, and Pascal Siakim provide efficient scoring off the bench, and allow the Raptors to wear other teams out by keeping constant pressure on other teams. The Raptors’ second unit averages 42 points per game and plays the second most minutes of any bench in the League.* The importance of a bench tends to diminish a bit during the playoffs, when teams tend to play their starters more minutes. How much the Raptors utilize their bench, and its effectiveness against the top Eastern Conference teams, will determine their playoff odds.

*Source: https://www.theringer.com/nba/2018/3/28/17171424/nba-icymi-20180327

Boston Celtics

The Celtics’ season has been rocky since the start. After losing Gordon Hayward during the very first game of the season, the Celtics went off on an impressive win streak before cooling down shortly before the All Star break. Since then, the Celtics have struggled with injuries. They lost Kyrie Irving to a knee injury for the rest of the season, and Marcus Smart to a thumb injury (that will likely keep him out for the start of the Playoffs).

While diminished, the Celtics are still a dangerous team. Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum are two strong young wings that present matchup issues on both ends of the floor. Al Horford remains an underrated big man capable of anchoring a defense and stretching the floor with his shot. The Celtics have gotten a surprisingly strong season out of backup rookie point guard Terry Rozier as well.

In addition, Brad Stevens is one of the finest coaching minds in the game. Stevens’ system, like the Warriors and Rockets, prizes ball movement, off-balls screens, and astute passing. Unlike those two teams, the Celtics prefer to play much slower (24th fastest pace in the NBA) and emphasize defense, surrendering 103.5 points per 100 possessions. This team would probably contend for the Eastern Conference crown at full strength, but is still quite dangerous even now.

Philadelphia 76ers

After years and years of tanking, the Sixers are finally ready to participate in the Playoffs. The Sixers roster, headlined by Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons, is a far cry from the garbage dumps of the past half decade and is good enough to push the East’s best.

Embiid anchors this team, particularly on offense. Embiid is a multifaceted center, a 20/10 player that can occasionally come out to the three point arc for the occasionally three. His length and mobility makes him a force on defense as well, averaging 1.8 blocks and 8.7 defensive rebounds per game. Ben Simmons, however, is the player that makes this team go. While Simmons is almost entirely incapable of shooting, but scores efficiently (16 points on 12.4 shots per game) by powering his way to the rim. Simmons’ vision and passing are what set him apart. Simmons can make incredibly difficult passes in traffic, while averaging 8.2 assists per game. Rounding out the roster is JJ Reddick, Robert Covington, and Dario Saric all of whom provide good to great three point shooting and play their roles well.

This team still lacks enough depth to really challenge the East’s better team, though its young roster may develop in the next few years (such as Markelle Fultz). This year though, they will likely win a playoff series before losing to either the Raptors or the Cavs.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland has LeBron James. That automatically makes them a contender no matter who else rounds up the roster. LeBron, even at 33, remains the NBA’s best player and fiercest playoff presence, a multifaceted player who can pass, score, and defend at the highest levels. LeBron comes as close to being able to win games singlehanded as any individual player in the NBA. The only real question is whether he can still do so through four playoff series.

After a mid-season rebuild, this year’s iteration of the Cavs is almost entirely different from the Finals team from last year. Though Kyrie Irving demanded a trade to Boston, Kevin Love is still on the roster. The Cavs have experimented with playing him at the 5 at points this season, with mixed success depending on specific matchups. A series of trades made the Cavs much younger, and better defensively (though the defense is a matter of degree…they’re still ranked 29th overall for defensive efficiency). The Cavs’ basic offensive approach hasn’t really changed much despite the roster turnover: spread the floor with shooters and let LeBron work. That this generally produces points is a testament to LeBron’s abilities as a player.

The Cavs big question mark is the health of Rodney Hood, who is expected to suit up despite an injured Achilles. Hood (along with Love, Jordan Clarkson, and George Hill) provides some much needed scoring from players not named LeBron. Despite this team’s substantial weaknesses, it’s hard to pick against LeBron for the East’s NBA Finals appearance. Expect LeBron to be there again.

Indiana Pacers

Indiana is one of the big surprises of the season. After trading Paul George during the off-season, Indiana was expected to be in full tank mode this season. The emergence of Victor Oladipo from discarded trade piece to legitimate All Star elevated the Pacers significantly.  Oladipo is a hyper-athletic two guard who can hit three’s at a decent clip and provide strong two way play. The Pacers lean heavily on his ability to create in order to generate points, and this will likely become more pronounced against the Cavs. The Pacers will likely go as far as Oladipo can carry them.

Miami Heat

Miami, in the post Big Three years, has reinvented itself as a young defensive minded team. At the start of the season, the Heat seemed like they would build around Hassan Whiteside and Goran Dragic (particularly their pick and roll play). As the season has gone on, the Heat have reduced Whiteside’s minutes and played smaller. Injuries also loom large over the Heat this season. A season ending injury to Dion Waiters took away one of the Heat’s major offensive forces, which in turn requires the team to rely heavily on Dragic and Whiteside to provide any offense.

The Heat generally win their games on the defensive end. They throw a lot of length and wing athleticism at their opponents, with Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, and Tyler Johnson. The Heat have a defensive efficiency of 106.3 points per 100 possessions (7th in the NBA), and their ability to take away passing lanes and protect the rim (when Whiteside is in) is excellent. Their lack of offense will likely cause them to struggle against the Sixers, though Spoelstra will likely have a solid game plan set up.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Bucks begin and end with Giannis Antetokounmpo. Giannis is a 23 year old force of nature, with unparalleled athleticism, reach, and wingspan. Few players match Giannis’  ability to disrupt their opponents on both ends of the floor. While not a great shooter, he can use his athleticism to score fairly easily. Unless LeBron is on the floor, he’s likely the best player on the floor on any given night in the Eastern Conference.

While Giannis is the Bucks’ best player, he’s not the only talented player on their roster. Eric Bledsoe is a pretty good combo guard, Malcolm Brodgon provides a steady hand on both ends of the floor, and Khris Middleton provides solid three point shooting (36%). The guards’ various kinds of scoring keep the defense from double and triple teaming Giannis, while providing length and on ball pressure on defense. The Bucks also contain a number of decent scorers, with a relatively young core. This team will probably grow a bit over the next season or two, but they will likely not survive the first round.

Washington Wizards

The Wizards remain a talented mess of a team. John Wall and Bradley Beal are two of the top backcourt duos in the NBA. Wall has been injured most of the season, and has only recently re-entered the lineup. The Wizards also have two wings, Otto Porter and Kelly Oubre, that provide shooting and defense. Post play comes primarily from Marcin Gortat and Ian Mahimi, neither of whom are particularly good post players. Markieff Morris, a stretch-4 who brings a decent amount of rebounding and defense (on top of some scoring ability), rounds out the lineup.

While Wall was out, the Wizards embraced a style Beal called “Everybody Eats”. Everybody got to touch the ball, and the Wizards would generate their offense through making several passes and giving everyone a touch. The Wizards found a decent amount of success this way. Since Wall came back, the team has regressed to its previous style. The chemistry issues and problems with Wall’s reintegration make the Wizards’ playoff odds very long.

Predictions

Warriors versus Spurs – Warriors

While the Spurs are well coached and will likely be well prepared, it’s hard to pick against the defending NBA champions here. The Warriors are younger, more talented, and have a style of play that allows them to easily exploit those advantages. The only major factor in the Spurs’ favor is the absence of Steph Curry, and even that will only allow them to steal a game. Expect the Warriors to win in 5.

Raptors versus Wizards – Raptors

The Wizards are not without talent, and have shown an ability to stymie Derozen and Lowry in the past. However, the Raptors’ depth and improved offensive efficiency prevents the Wizards from falling back on their usual game plan with the Raptors. The Wizards are also, to put it mildly, a mess at the moment. The Raptors also have a 2015 sweep to avenge and will likely be motivated to play hard in this matchup. The Raptors will finish the series in no more than 6 games.

Sixers versus Heat – Sixers

The Heat and Sixers split their season series, which is usually an indication of a close playoff matchup. The Heat are a classic overachieving regular season team that got by on stout defense and extra effort. Those advantages disappear in the Playoffs. Embiid is out for the time being, and that may even the odds a tad. The Sixers still play a talented offensive lineup, and the Heat really have no answer for Ben Simmons (even in his first playoff series). Sixers in 6.

Blazers versus Pelicans – Blazers

The Pelicans don’t go much beyond Anthony Davis and Jrue Holiday. In contrast, the Blazers have a deep, experienced offensive lineup and have finally learned how to play defense. With no answer for both Lillard and McCollum, the Blazers should seal this series quickly (around 5 games).

Celtics versus Bucks – Celtics

The Celtics come into this series with significant injuries (no Irving or Hayward), but likely still have enough to dispatch the Bucks without too much of a worry. Giannis Antetouknmpo will likely put out an amazing effort, and give the Celtics heartburn every game (frankly it may be worth watching the series just for him). The Celtics counter with a well constructed, well-coached team (they still have Al Horford, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, and Terry Rozier) that should be able to produce enough offense to take this series in 6 or 7 games.

Cavaliers versus Pacers – Cavaliers

This prediction requires Playoff LeBron to emerge and overcome a lot of the Cavs’ deficiencies. The Cavs can score, but they’ve been a miserable defensive team for most of the season (even with the completely different core of players after the trade deadline). The Pacers have a significant drop-off in the quality of their players after Oladipo, but could push the Cavs to 6 if the Cavs’ defense remains terrible. More likely, Playoff LeBron gets this series done in 5.

Thunder versus Jazz – Jazz

This will likely be the most competitive series in the first round. What the Jazz lack in offense, they make up for with stifling defense and rim protection. The Thunder, in turn, are a flawed team that rely a lot on the scoring of Russell Westbrook and Paul George. The Jazz will have to rely a lot on rookie Donovan Mitchell to put up enough points, and this series really could swing either way in my opinion. The Jazz’s defense is a differentiator, so they get the edge in this column.

Rockets versus Timberwolves – Rockets

The T-Wolves have some great talent (Towns, Wiggins, and Butler) that speaks to how tough the Western Conference was this season. However, they are a fairly poor defensive team going up against the best offense in the NBA. Even good defensive teams struggle with all the Rockets’ pick and roll and off ball screen action, and the T-Wolves got swept in the season series due to an inability to defend those plays. Expect the Rockets to win this series easily, in 4 or 5 games.

All stats provided by basketball-reference.com