Shamrock Thoughts: 2018 Kentucky Derby

Horse Racing 2005 - 131st Kentucky Derby

One of the most exciting races in our country will take place later today and from looking at the odds, this could be a very close race. Trainers like Bob Baffert dedicate their lives to this race, the creme de la creme of horse racing, and every year the favorites have a hard time winning at Churchill Downs. But with this year, the odds are so crowded that there isn’t a “clear” favorite.

As of this article written, the favorite to win this one is Justify, who’s odds are 7-2  and is in the seven post. While the horse is the distinguished favorite in the field, there are twenty horses. Here is the rest of the field:

2018 Kentucky Derby Odds

HORSE POST POSITION ODDS
Justify 7 7-2
My Boy Jack 10 5-1
Audible 5 6-1
Mendelssohn 14 6-1
Good Magic 6 8-1
Bolt d’Oro 11 9-1
Magnum Moon 16 13-1
Vino Rosso 18 15-1
Hofburg 9 25-1
Lone Sailor 8 32-1
Free Drop Billy 2 41-1
Promises Fulfilled 3 46-1
Flameaway 4 51-1
Enticed 12 54-1
Noble Indy 19 54-1
Firenze Fire 1 63-1
Solomini 17 64-1
Bravazo 13 69-1
Combatant 20 77-1
Instilled Regard 15 99-1

*Source: http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/22594819/horse-racing-latest-2018-kentucky-derby-futures-odds

As you can see, it’s a very crowded field and the odds are very close with horses My Boy Jack, Audible, Mendelssohn, Good Magic, Bolt d’Oro, Magnum Moon, and Vino Rosso in striking distance of Justify.

One thing to look after is the conditions of the track. As of this morning, the conditions are fast, which means it’s good running conditions. There is rain in the forecast which could mean the conditions could change and make it slower for the horses to run on. Keep an eye out on this.

So later on today I plan on just grabbing a pint of beer for the race (yeah, I know, it should be mint julep per tradition, but I don’t care for that stuff), kicking back, and enjoying what unfolds in front of me. Who is my favorite to win the race? As cliche as it sounds, I’m going with the favorite here Justify. While the odds are on his side, the conditions look favorable for him. I also suspect this will be a tight race so keep an eye out for that. And let’s see if any horse will lead to a Triple Crown last won by American Pharaoh in 2015.

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